El Niño Intensification Tracking Ahead of 1997 and 2015 Super Events — Southern Hemisphere Agricultural Calendar Enters Primary Exposure Window
New ensemble modelling from ECMWF and BOM shows the 2026 El Niño intensification curve outpacing the 1997 and 2015 super events, placing Brazilian safrinha corn, Argentine wheat planting, and Australian winter grain production directly in the primary risk window.