Under the EUDR amending regulation (EU 2025/2650) adopted by the Council on 23 December 2025, the European Commission is required to present a simplification review by 30 April 2026 evaluating the administrative burden of the deforestation regulation
India's Ministry of Consumer Affairs, Food and Public Distribution approved on 13 February 2026 the export of 2.5 million tonnes of wheat plus 500,000 tonnes of wheat products, ending a near four-year ban imposed in May 2022 (Government of India). Th
The NOAA Climate Prediction Center on 10 April 2026 issued an El Niño Watch alongside a Final La Niña Advisory, confirming that ENSO-neutral conditions are present and favoured through April–June 2026 (80% probability). El Niño is projected to emerge
By the end of March 2026, 232 wild boar had tested positive for African Swine Fever in the Catalonia region surrounding Barcelona, with approximately 24,000 animals culled year-to-date under the regional reduction programme (Generalitat de Catalunya,
The World Bank's Commodity Markets Outlook, released on 14 April 2026, forecasts aggregate commodity prices falling to a six-year low by the end of 2026, driven by an anticipated 1.2 million barrel per day oil surplus. The food-agriculture subset is
European cocoa grindings fell 7.8% year-on-year in Q1 2026 to 325,852 tonnes, the weakest Q1 print in over a decade according to data released by the European Cocoa Association on 16 April 2026. The decline came in at the weaker end of the -3% to -7%
Intra-European food trade is growing faster than exports to the US or China. Agricultural products face 10% UK and 15% EU tariffs. Sectors most at risk: dairy, confectionery, wine, cheese, olive oil. Diversification toward Southeast Asia and Mercosur is now commercially urgent.
The 2022–2026 US HPAI outbreak has now cost 203 million birds across 1,000+ commercial flocks. An ECDC/EFSA overview flags a potential first H5N1 spillover into European dairy cattle in the Netherlands — carrying major implications for EU dairy export certification.
Brazil supplied 73.6% of China's soy imports in 2025, up from 71%. US soybeans attract a 10% additional levy vs 3% MFN for Brazil — a $30–75/tonne structural price wedge steering Chinese private processors away from US origin.
35% of US winter wheat rated good-to-excellent — 13 points below a year ago. 65% of growing areas in drought. Oklahoma at 54% poor-to-very-poor. Late rains in Texas arrived too late to rescue the Panhandle crop.
Over 30% of global urea exports transit the Strait of Hormuz. With maritime traffic severely disrupted at the start of the Northern Hemisphere planting window, yield consequences will become visible at harvest.
Global food commodity prices rose for the second consecutive month in March 2026, with the FAO Food Price Index averaging 128.5 points — a 2.4% rise driven by Gulf conflict energy transmission into input costs.